Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44.5% on 4 Aug 2026 and the low 20% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 31% on 5 Aug 2026. $930.81 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 11:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Clean-Metallurgist | Yes | 344.83 |
| TAHIRAHMAD | Yes | 256 |
| squirtdirty | Yes | 49.99 |
| TheKingos | Yes | 17.24 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 2.35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Bruno Lopes and Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bru13-diy-2026-08-08
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