Analytics
Resolved Diyar Nurgozhay on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Diyar Nurgozhay at 59.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 28 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2026 to 8 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 47% on 31 Jul 2026. $334.32K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kldjsh | Bruno Lopes | 48.93K |
| olegio | Bruno Lopes | 16.3K |
| Gloobera | Bruno Lopes | 10.79K |
| ve3693 | Bruno Lopes | 8.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Bruno Lopes" if Bruno Lopes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Diyar Nurgozhay" if Diyar Nurgozhay is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bru13-diy-2026-08-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| berbisminsk | Bruno Lopes | 8.15K |
| 0x0A77exmm | Bruno Lopes | 5.13K |
| DoubleCheeseBurguer | Bruno Lopes | 5.06K |
| tomb2456 | Bruno Lopes | 5K |
| hi774c | Bruno Lopes | 2.52K |
| comon119 | Bruno Lopes | 2.5K |
