Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 12 Jul 2026 and the low 18.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 18.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $302.09 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 7:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 12 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Unsteady-Skullcap | Yes | 52.63 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 50.58 |
| squirtdirty | Yes | 50 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendson Ribeiro and Magomed Tuchalov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre7-mtucha-2026-07-25
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