
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 44%. Yes opened at 51% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 2 Apr 2026 and the low 38% on 31 Mar 2026. $1.72K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 1:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 26 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 56.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| B4r4k.ky | Yes | 163.28 |
| 44444444ben | Yes | 16.07 |
| Useless-Mystery | Yes | 10.05 |
| mdgc | Yes | 10 |
| OBTAIN | Yes | 8.27 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
| Unrealistic-Hacienda | Yes | 1.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendson Ribeiro and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre7-abd8-2026-04-04
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