Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 17 May 2026 and the low 20% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20% on 1 Jun 2026. $276.89 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 2:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 17 May 2026 – 7 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CeeeDeee | Yes | 88.04 |
| NFLandChill | Yes | 35.69 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| BYZANTiNE-iCON | Yes | 3.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendan Allen and Edmen Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre1-edm-2026-06-06
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