Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 26% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 33% on 9 Jul 2026. $1.55K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 2:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flustered-Conversion | Yes | 250 |
| Academic-Flax | Yes | 233.2 |
| BIGMONEY888TOKCER | Yes | 200 |
| Petty-Footage | Yes | 105.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brandon Royval and Lone'er Kavanagh at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bra6-lon-2026-07-11
New to prediction markets?
| shoemanhere | Yes | 94.35 |
| Edfarrellx | Yes | 73.78 |
| Definitive-Impropriety | Yes | 69.11 |
| Legal-Knot-Neglect | Yes | 38 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
