Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.9%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 7.1% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 11 Mar 2026.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 12:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 7.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wovho | Yes | 116.31 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 22.31 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| mistaviber | Yes | 10 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| ZSM4736326 | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Brad Tavares" if Brad Tavares is officially declared the winner of the fight against Eryk Anders at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Eryk Anders" if Eryk Anders is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bra4-ery-2026-03-14
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