Analytics
Resolved Modestino Rodrigues on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Modestino Rodrigues at 38.5%. The Brandon Holmes side opened at 50% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 50% on 20 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 56% on 30 Aug 2026. $17.65K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 1:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Brandon Holmes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 20 Aug 2026 – 2 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Brandon Holmes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kosherlocks | Brandon Holmes | 2.63K |
| styllo | Brandon Holmes | 1.03K |
| Reasonable-Expedition | Brandon Holmes | 700 |
| olddirtyfighter | Brandon Holmes |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Brandon Holmes" if Brandon Holmes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Modestino Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Modestino Rodrigues" if Modestino Rodrigues is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bra25-modrod-2026-09-01
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| mackiah | Brandon Holmes | 199.99 |
| sweise | Brandon Holmes | 163.11 |
