Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 23% on 27 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31% on 26 Jan 2026. $3.83K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 804 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 529 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 509 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 298 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Billy Elekana and Junior Tafa at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil6-jun4-2026-01-31
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 227 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 206 |
| This-Emergent | Yes | 29.41 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 21 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 20.11 |
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