Analytics
Resolved Elekana on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Elekana at 69.5%. The Elekana side opened at 50% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 60% on 14 Jan 2026. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Elekana price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Elekana price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 69.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SammySledge | Tafa | 130.58K |
| Donghui | Tafa | 100K |
| shinigami-eyes | Tafa | 27.63K |
| sunflowaa | Tafa | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junior Tafa at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil6-jun4-2026-01-31
| thepunterwhopunts | Tafa | 5.58K |
| RipNDip | Tafa | 3.33K |
| ArbitrageFund | Tafa | 2.97K |
| BeastPlays | Tafa | 2.09K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Tafa | 2.05K |
| almet | Tafa | 1.89K |
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