Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 31 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 49% on 18 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%.
Polymarket record as of May 31, 2:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 17 May 2026 – 31 May 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Billy Elekana and Iwo Baraniewski at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil6-iwo-2026-06-06
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