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Paper trading
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 31 Jul 2026 and the low 38.5% on 9 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 40% on 7 Aug 2026. $14.21K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Far-Tornado | Yes | 1.64K |
| nbafan88 | Yes | 1K |
| Traumatic-Lay | Yes | 877 |
| MadeiraIsland | Yes | 425 |
| Sinaro37 | Yes | 263.65 |
| olddirtyfighter | Yes | 260 |
| 4751346 | Yes | 100 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 36.31 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 24 |
| apath | Yes | 14.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Billy Ray Goff and Ty Miller at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil2-tym-2026-08-08
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