Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 24.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 51% on 27 Apr 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 24.5% on 17 May 2026. $40.04 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 17 May 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shahsports | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Bernardo Sopaj and Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ber1-tim15-2026-05-16
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