Analytics
Resolved Machado Garry on 22 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Machado Garry at 71.5%. Yes opened at 34% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 19 Nov 2025 and the low 28.5% on 22 Nov 2025. $870.9K traded over the market's life.
233 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 34.0% |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Anointed-Connect | Muhammad | 58.32K |
| gopfan2 | Muhammad | 27K |
| thepunterwhopunts | Muhammad | 20.28K |
| one8tyfive | Muhammad | 9.27K |
| 4-seas | Muhammad | 8.9K |
| kto2x | Muhammad | 8.66K |
| smegma3000 | Muhammad | 7K |
| noloanplz | Muhammad | 6.37K |
| EVplusrebate | Muhammad | 6K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Muhammad | 5.1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Muhammad" if Belal Muhammad is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bel-ian1-2025-11-22
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