Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 7 Jun 2026, the highest close was 52% on 30 May 2026 and the lowest 23% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 51.5% on 2 Jun 2026. $310.54 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 17 May 2026 – 7 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dddtrips | Yes | 50 |
| Pointless-Stepdaughter | Yes | 28.57 |
| Caviar.mx | Yes | 27.4 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bel-gab3-2026-06-06
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