Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 13 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $141.48 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 13 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| levaix02 | Yes | 8.54 |
| Sausage123 | Yes | 5.56 |
| Droopy-Hold | Yes | 3.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Saygid Izagakhmaev at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-avagae-say1-2026-07-25
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