Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 67% on 15 Feb 2026 and the low 40% on 23 Feb 2026. A week ago Yes was at 67%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 67% on 15 Feb 2026.
$111.97 has traded since listing.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 1 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 40.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Austin Vanderford and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aus5-jea2-2026-02-21
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