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Paper trading
Trading is closed with the Vanderford side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 57% on 7 Feb 2026 and the low 47% on 8 Feb 2026. A week ago the Vanderford side was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 47% on 8 Feb 2026.
$2.77K has traded since listing.
The largest Vanderford position is IrthBirth with 0 shares; the largest Lebosnoyani position is Coral Lynx 2935 with 3.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Vanderford price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Vanderford price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.5% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Coral Lynx 2935 | Lebosnoyani | 3 |
| IrthBirth | Vanderford | 0.08 |
| 15rob | Vanderford | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Vanderford" if Austin Vanderford is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aus5-jea2-2026-02-21
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