Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 20 Jun 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 24 Jun 2026. $787.87 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 5:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 48.5% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AETHERqz | Yes | 88.24 |
| Caviar.mx | Yes | 26.47 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Emerald Orbit 4E8B | Yes | 6.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Asu Almabayev" if Asu Almabayev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-asu-cha15-2026-06-27
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