Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 15% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 26.5% on 24 Jun 2026. $376.09 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 5:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| real.tars | Yes | 131.58 |
| GooberThaGooner | Yes | 100 |
| mrcrovax | Yes | 52.63 |
| Cosmic Orbit 6DEE | Yes | 38.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Asu Almabayev" if Asu Almabayev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-asu-cha15-2026-06-27
| t4k3sh1 | Yes | 25 |
| Osip | Yes | 21.05 |
| Swift Ledger A150 | Yes | 5.26 |
| hesure | Yes | 2.11 |
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