Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 Jun 2026 and the low 15% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27% on 24 Jun 2026. $301.55 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 5:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dondemilian | Yes | 125 |
| BotRomTan2 | Yes | 5 |
| hesure | Yes | 2.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Asu Almabayev" if Asu Almabayev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-asu-cha15-2026-06-27
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