Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 78.5% on 20 Oct 2025 and the low 73% on 19 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 78.5% on 20 Oct 2025.
$3.2M has traded since listing.
The largest Aspinall position is asfkjsdfoi with 26 shares; the largest Gane position is Raked2 with 20.8K. Ten wallets hold 99.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 19 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 70%–82%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | 73.0% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Raked2 | Gane | 20.79K |
| Conventional-Ellipse | Gane | 439.76 |
| russeltamere | Gane | 416.67 |
| asfkjsdfoi | Aspinall | 25.97 |
| Emerald Voyager EA12 | Aspinall | 21.09 |
| doffneri | Aspinall | 20.57 |
| mrsmoke | Aspinall | 17.72 |
| litterfinger | Aspinall | 13.14 |
| voritzi | Aspinall | 11.69 |
| Chiwa | Aspinall | 11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a polymarket on whether Aspinall or Gane will win their bout at UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane, scheduled for October 25. This market will resolve to "Aspinall" if Tom Aspinall is declared the winner. This market will resolve to "Gane" if Ciryl Gane is declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the bout is not scored, postponed after November 1, 2025, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be ESPN. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-321-aspinall-vs-gane
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