Analytics
Resolved Ketlen Souza on 6 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ketlen Souza at 74.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 17 May 2026 and the low 19% on 25 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26% on 18 May 2026. $55.62K traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 9:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 17 May 2026 – 6 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Jun 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NewTeamSosed4 | Ariane Carnelossi | 3K |
| slimjoe | Ariane Carnelossi | 1.5K |
| Bagwell306 | Ariane Carnelossi | 1.31K |
| Violet Kestrel 7917 | Ariane Carnelossi |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 1K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Ariane Carnelossi | 999.74 |
| Bangaran | Ariane Carnelossi | 923.08 |
| KnureKnume | Ariane Carnelossi | 600 |
| hi774c | Ariane Carnelossi | 515.65 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Ariane Carnelossi | 498 |
| hessian | Ariane Carnelossi | 357.1 |
