Analytics
Resolved Mantas Kondratavicius on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mantas Kondratavicius at 87.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 7 Mar 2026 and the low 12.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 33% on 10 Mar 2026.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 9:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 47.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thepunterwhopunts | Antonio Trocoli | 19.7K |
| FOMO34 | Antonio Trocoli | 10.3K |
| Uncommon-Attribute | Antonio Trocoli | 6.37K |
| eitherway | Antonio Trocoli |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Antonio Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ant6-man18-2026-03-21
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 2.77K |
| c4c4 | Antonio Trocoli | 2.76K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Antonio Trocoli | 1.67K |
| thegoatofgoat | Antonio Trocoli | 833.33 |
| SteadyC | Antonio Trocoli | 685 |
| meravici | Antonio Trocoli | 454.55 |
| hi774c | Antonio Trocoli | 223.84 |
