Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 7 Dec 2025 and the lowest 13% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 83 points up, to 100% on 7 Dec 2025. $2.57K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.12K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 333 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 298 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 245 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ant6-man14-2025-12-06
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 200 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 191 |
| EVplusrebate | No | 87.5 |
| ewa | No | 12.5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
