Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 16% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 21.5% on 12 Feb 2026. $1.81K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| landeater | Yes | 33.33 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 15 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 9.07 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ante Delija and Serghei Spivac at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ant12-ser2-2026-02-21
| wdsad1 | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
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