Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46%. Yes opened at 51% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 40% on 6 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 57.5% on 10 Feb 2026. $1.93K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 26.18 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 5.63 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ante Delija and Serghei Spivac at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ant12-ser2-2026-02-21
| Safe-Waterskiing | Yes | 5 |
| wdsad1 | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
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