Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2026 to 21 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 21 Jun 2026. $256.34 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Jun 2026 – 21 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leegunner | No | 42 |
| intdtghy5 | No | 5 |
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| doglover4571 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Andre Fili and Vinicius Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-and2-vin9-2026-06-20
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