Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 18% on 18 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 20% on 17 Jul 2026. $43.43 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 10:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 43.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alvin Hines and RJ Harris at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-alv2-rharri-2026-07-18
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