Analytics
Resolved Mitch Raposo on 20 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mitch Raposo at 39.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 20 Jun 2026, the highest close was 65.5% on 14 Jun 2026 and the lowest 40% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 63% on 2 Jun 2026. $1.04M traded over the market's life.
130 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 31 May 2026 – 20 Jun 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Jun 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Allan Nascimento | 3.5K |
| PMM888 | Allan Nascimento | 2.67K |
| evanng | Allan Nascimento | 2.08K |
| Neon Voyager E175 | Allan Nascimento | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-all2-mit2-2026-06-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Gold.Mansacks | Allan Nascimento | 1.5K |
| third-eye | Allan Nascimento | 1.31K |
| 4751346 | Allan Nascimento | 1.2K |
| Dental-Contention | Allan Nascimento | 1K |
| almet | Allan Nascimento | 1K |
| borism8 | Allan Nascimento | 769.91 |
