Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 51% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 32.5% on 23 Apr 2026. $104.83 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 51.0% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| redstar1987 | Yes | 12.25 |
| Urban-Drawer | Yes | 11 |
| Misty Sphinx A642 | Yes | 9.55 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Aljamain Sterling and Youssef Zalal at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-alj-you-2026-04-25
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| youueffsee | Yes | 4.83 |
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