Analytics
Resolved Alice Ardelean on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alice Ardelean at 0%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 100% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 48% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 100% on 17 May 2026. $1.53M traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 17 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dsvid | Polyana Viana | 21K |
| sunflowaa | Polyana Viana | 13.5K |
| epend | Polyana Viana | 12.31K |
| stillachance | Polyana Viana | 11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Alice Ardelean" if Alice Ardelean is officially declared the winner of the fight against Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Polyana Viana" if Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ali7-pol1-2026-05-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| beet420 | Polyana Viana | 10.63K |
| andrewtate69 | Polyana Viana | 8.52K |
| berbisminsk | Polyana Viana | 7.8K |
| HeyItsOracle0 | Polyana Viana | 7.8K |
| 0x0A77exmm | Polyana Viana | 5.26K |
| Painfulvoid | Polyana Viana | 4.69K |
