Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the lowest 22.5% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22.5% on 30 Nov 2025. $30.16K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paldo.io | Yes | 10K |
| InfinitePain | Yes | 2.94K |
| agbegginer | Yes | 543.48 |
| Griska | Yes | 518.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale8-jos49-2025-12-06
| GooberThaGooner | Yes | 300 |
| CJNG | Yes | 211 |
| WildPony13 | Yes | 162.5 |
| mikrowelleburger | Yes | 104.46 |
| dim12 | Yes | 93.75 |
| peacebethejourney | Yes | 83.33 |
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