Analytics
Resolved Van on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Van at 32.5%. Yes opened at 32% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 71% on 2 Dec 2025 and the low 32% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 70% on 30 Nov 2025. $1.71M traded over the market's life.
501 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 32.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Comeback12345 | Pantoja | 297.22K |
| paldo.io | Pantoja | 55.11K |
| 6kkandrew1 | Pantoja | 41.9K |
| oolyisla909 | Pantoja | 36.75K |
| Jon-Anik-Fan | Pantoja | 31.5K |
| kaijiito | Pantoja | 30.68K |
| TrentaColdBrew | Pantoja | 22.67K |
| Momentumtrades | Pantoja | 19.12K |
| blockbyblockAI | Pantoja | 16.66K |
| slat1 | Pantoja | 16.24K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Pantoja" if Alexandre Pantoja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale8-jos49-2025-12-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
