Analytics
Resolved Almabayev on 22 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Almabayev at 65.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 40.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 34.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 35% on 20 Nov 2025. $154.12K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 40.5% |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 6yuyurrg | Perez | 25.49K |
| BobOrom | Perez | 11.67K |
| EVplusrebate | Perez | 4.14K |
| noloanplz | Perez | 2.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Perez" if Alex Perez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Asu Almabayev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Almabayev" if Asu Almabayev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale7-asu-2025-11-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| mafi7al | Perez | 1.98K |
| Amazing-Hovel | Perez | 1.5K |
| jonasbibi | Perez | 1.5K |
| leo0770 | Perez | 1.26K |
| 4-seas | Perez | 487 |
| Deville666 | Perez | 409.55 |
