Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 33.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 2 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 65.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $788.01 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 219 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 185 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 151 |
| Keen Harbor 9FD0 | Yes | 7.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alex Morono and Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale5-dan59-2026-02-07
| Davooo | Yes | 7.25 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Yes | 5.63 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | Yes | 5 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 5 |
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