Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Feb 2026 and the low 9.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $3.85K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 2sharp4u | Yes | 598.5 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 437 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 186 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 152 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 141 |
| Flat-Gasket | Yes | 92.72 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 76 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25 |
| langanyong | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Morono" if Alex Morono is officially declared the winner of the fight against Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Donchenko" if Daniil Donchenko is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale5-dan59-2026-02-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
