Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 39%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 42% on 2 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 66.5% on 6 Feb 2026. $3.29K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 219 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 185 |
| theodore-bet | Yes | 171.03 |
| Super-Read | Yes | 154.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Morono" if Alex Morono is officially declared the winner of the fight against Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Donchenko" if Daniil Donchenko is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale5-dan59-2026-02-07
| Melodic-Behalf | Yes | 100 |
| C.G.M. | Yes | 73.74 |
| rtsgg53 | Yes | 36.13 |
| NBKillaz | Yes | 29.58 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25 |
| Badznoises | Yes | 11.17 |
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