Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 51% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 6% on 9 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 26.5% on 6 May 2026. $743.69 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 3:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale22-wal2-2026-05-09
| Useless-Mystery | Yes | 10.9 |
| Jeffrey.E.Epstein | Yes | 10 |
| dennis1111 | Yes | 10 |
| rmoraesalves73 | Yes | 5.26 |
| Rocks3 | No | 0.5 |
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