Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 30% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 30% on 14 Jul 2026. $1.95K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 10:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| raymctrade | No | 12 |
| Cheap-Visa | No | 7.67 |
| Jervinchy | No | 2.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alden Coria and Stewart Nicoll at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ald-ste35-2026-07-18
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