Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 50% on 6 Mar 2026.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Melodic-Behalf | No | 99.99 |
| triklozoid | No | 30 |
| teamsmoothpanda | No | 8.77 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady and Shem Rock at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-abd2-she6-2026-03-21
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| ShahRiazKhan | No | 4.99 |
| Quiet Tide 7848 | No | 1.49 |
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