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Paper trading
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 18% on 15 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 20 Jul 2025 and the low 16.5% on 16 Jul 2025. $7.73K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Jul 2025 – 20 Jul 2025, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | 18.0% |
| 20 Jul 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cable-780 | Yes | 4K |
| electrickc | Yes | 427.29 |
| Equal-Wife | Yes | 392.28 |
| 1sqeakyparrot | Yes | 181.82 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 179.01 |
| Sosssa | Yes | 100 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Yes | 100 |
| 0xChee | Yes | 86.96 |
| iambarabbas | Yes | 83.33 |
| robbyd17 | Yes | 57.86 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting the method of victory for the UFC 318 main event bout between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-318-holloway-vs-poirier-3-method-of-win
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