Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 15 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2025 to 20 Jul 2025, the highest close was 25.3% on 16 Jul 2025 and the lowest 2.8% on 15 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 25.3% on 16 Jul 2025. $2.58K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Jul 2025 – 20 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | 2.8% |
| 20 Jul 2025 | 10.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 179.01 |
| DareLes | Yes | 109.08 |
| JoE | Yes | 9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the method of victory for the UFC 318 main event bout between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-318-holloway-vs-poirier-3-method-of-win
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