Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 15 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2025 to 20 Jul 2025, the highest close was 46% on 20 Jul 2025 and the lowest 42% on 18 Jul 2025. $10.59K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Jul 2025 – 20 Jul 2025, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2025 | 44.5% |
| 20 Jul 2025 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrGoy | Yes | 289.06 |
| kjauer | Yes | 217.39 |
| Lolodokonca | Yes | 217.39 |
| L3387 | Yes | 216.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if during UFC 318 on July 19, 2025, both of the following occurs: -In the Men's Lightweight Main Event bout between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier, Max Holloway wins the fight. -In the Men’s Welterweight bout between Kevin Holland and Daniel Rodriguez, Kevin Holland wins the fight. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If either fight is canceled or postponed beyond August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-318-parlay-holloway-holland
New to prediction markets?
| RmcMurphy | Yes | 200 |
| Tieyz | Yes | 120 |
| Abundant | Yes | 99.81 |
| Sleepyjoelover | Yes | 87.05 |
| 0xChee | Yes | 43.49 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 40 |
