Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 20% on 6 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2025 to 8 Jun 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 8 Jun 2025 and the lowest 20% on 6 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 25.5% on 8 Jun 2025. $11.33K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Jun 2025 – 8 Jun 2025, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2025 | 20.0% |
| 8 Jun 2025 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grevous2784 | Yes | 1.85K |
| Rapid Beacon 44DC | Yes | 1K |
| Violet Raven 4C80 | Yes | 995 |
| Jade Pulse 069B | Yes | 980 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if during UFC 316 on June 7, 2025, all of the following occurs: -In the men's bantamweight main event bout between Sean O'Malley and Merab Dvalishvili, Sean O'Malley wins the fight. -In the women’s bantamweight co-main event bout between Kayla Harrison and Julianna Peña, Kayla Harrison wins the fight. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If either fight is canceled or postponed beyond June 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-316-omalley-and-harrison-parlay
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