Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 6 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2025 to 8 Jun 2025, the highest close was 14.5% on 7 Jun 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 6 Jun 2025. $5.75K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Jun 2025 – 8 Jun 2025, chart shows 6%–18%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2025 | 9.5% |
| 8 Jun 2025 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| myKraken | Yes | 1.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if during UFC 316 on June 7, 2025, all of the following occurs: -In the men's bantamweight main event bout between Merab Dvalishvili and Sean O'Malley, Merab Dvalishvili wins the fight. -In the women’s bantamweight co-main event bout between Julianna Peña and Kayla Harrison, Julianna Peña wins the fight. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If either fight is canceled or postponed beyond June 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-316-dvalishvili-and-pea-parlay
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