Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 43.5% on 4 Mar 2026.
305 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 10:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Yes | 40K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 33.7K |
| Cannae | Yes | 18.5K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 17.36K |
| Our-Linkage | Yes | 11.31K |
| zack202020 | Yes | 11.08K |
| kkpay19888 | Yes | 10.38K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.16K |
| Pure-Sabre | Yes | 8.64K |
| qinlaoban | Yes | 7.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 12, 2026 between VfB Stuttgart and FC Porto.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-stu3-por1-2026-03-12
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