Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the low 22% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 35.5% on 7 Mar 2026.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 10:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 6 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 41.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.07K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.88K |
| nikola17 | Yes | 1K |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 650.18 |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 185.27 |
| Cannae | Yes | 166.94 |
| Mjreyes507 | Yes | 131.88 |
| Thomasjpz | Yes | 93.75 |
| MartyMcFox | Yes | 89.14 |
| GbushiCshuo | Yes | 89.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between SC Freiburg and KRC Genk.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-scf-gnk-2026-03-19
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
