
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 18 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 16 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 18.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 7:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 14.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.25K |
| Neon Vector 2240 | Yes | 1.48K |
| Closed-Comfort | Yes | 1.43K |
| Decent-Foundation | Yes | 497 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between SC Braga and Ferencvárosi TC.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-scb-ftc-2026-03-18
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