
Resolved No on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 39% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 7 Mar 2026.
141 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 12:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 39.0% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| therighteousdog | Yes | 304.27K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 35.4K |
| Anjun | Yes | 18.89K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 17.17K |
| Cannae | Yes | 17.13K |
| kkap8897 | Yes | 4.65K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.12K |
| Ribalovvv | Yes | 2.9K |
| Pertinent-Diner | Yes | 2.42K |
| Shmuela | Yes | 1.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 12, 2026 between Ferencvárosi TC and SC Braga.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-ftc-scb-2026-03-12
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